Iran has struck Israel.

previous preamble

The continuing fall of the remains of the British Empire is pretty entertaining from the outside: an archaic royal family that is seemingly being smote with disease by God itself for their past crimes; a navy that virtually no longer functions, ramming into foreign ports and under constant repair; and an economy that cannot seem to stop sputtering, fucked whether they’re in the EU or outside it. Watching the impacts on people from the inside is a little more worrying, though.

A fifth of the population is in poverty, including nearly a third of all children. These figures have barely shifted since the Labour government in the early 2000s, aside from a decreasing poverty rate for pensioners. Actually, poverty hasn’t substantially shifted since Margaret Thatcher. Before her, the poverty rate was around 14%, but her catastrophic policies caused a major increase, and poverty levels since then are still 50% higher than over 50 years ago, because neoliberal economic policy since then has not fundamentally changed. Parties and corporations have impoverished the usual vulnerable groups, such as large families, minority ethnic groups (including half of Pakistani and Bangladeshi households!) and disabled people. These differences are also regional, with the North more impoverished than the richer Southeast (but some of the poorest boroughs are in London, so it’s a complex pattern).

With Corbyn’s defeat in 2019 mere months before the pandemic began, the Labour Party shifted back towards the right, with left-wingers purged from the party if they did not kowtow to Keir Starmer. This leaves us with a situation where the only substantial difference between the two parties would be on social policy, but it goes without saying that economic policy is the overwhelming factor that determines if minorities can have a decent life. Worker-oriented movements since then have been largely not under the umbrella of major party leaderships, such as the Don’t Pay movement in late 2022 that arose in the wake of dramatically rising energy prices where 3 million people vowed to not pay them (which did lead to results).

Most notably recently is the major upset in the constituency of Rochdale - the victory of George Galloway - who is the leader of the Workers Party of Britain, which describes itself as both socialist and socially conservative. This took place both in the context of aforementioned economic troubles, as well as anger over Israel’s genocide of Gaza in the British population, especially in British Muslims. It remains to be seen how much of this is an isolated event, especially as Corbyn has, understandably, refused to collaborate with Galloway due to his socially conservative stances. The UK general election will be held at some point within the next 9 months or so, and might well be a shitshow depending on what happens domestically and geopolitically before then; parallels to the current American electoral shitshow with increasing anger over Biden are pretty apparent. The Conservatives are quite likely to lose given 14 years of uninspired rule if current polling is correct, but it truly is a race to the bottom.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you’ve wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don’t worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is the United Kingdom! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week’s thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Parzivus [any]@hexbear.net
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    6 months ago

    US trade representative says China’s economy is a system “that we’ve articulated as being not market-based, as being fundamentally nurtured differently, against which a market-based system like ours is going to have trouble competing against and surviving”.

    Full article

  • newmou [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    6 months ago

    I’m at a hotel and I threw on CNN, and they have on John Bolton lmao IRAN IS HAPPENING SOMEBODY GET BOLTON

    Edit: Jesus Christ, he is calling for Israel to bomb any sort of nuclear facilities in Iran, and he said if there “happens to be a nuclear holocaust in the future, we’ll know who to blame”

    Update: he’s bringing in North Korea now lol saying Iran and North Korea are working together to produce nuclear weapons for Iran

  • zephyreks [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    6 months ago

    A shower thought on “Chinese vassalage”:

    The DPRK, whose dependence on China is extensive and extremely well-documented, still has an absurd amount of flexibility, self-determination, and independence from Chinese policy. It’s essentially the “worst case scenario” in terms of Chinese influence… And the DPRK was still allowed to develop it’s own nuclear weapons despite Chinese opposition. What are the odds that Canada would be allowed to develop an independent nuclear weapons program today? Cuba? Mexico?

    Zero.

    • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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      6 months ago

      I mean, Cuba used to have nuclear weapons in the 1960s. And, with Soviet help, they were building a nuclear power plant in the 1980s. Today, Cuba will only have a nuclear power plant if the US relaxes the embargo to allow European and Chinese nuclear experts to go to Cuba.

      Brazil and Argentina tried to develop nuclear weapons during the 1970s and 1980s. When the US found out about this, it began to antagonize the military juntas and cut off their aid.

      Eventually, they gave up on making nuclear missiles. But they still have the capacity and the tools to make them. I remember that, during the 2000s, Brazil was advocating the suspension of sanctions against Iran, because they said that Iran would only use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. The US tried to force Brazil to show the tools that the Brazilian government had developed to enrich uranium, which is still a state secret.

      And during the 2010s, before the 2016 coup, the Brazilian navy had a semi-secret project to develop a nuclear submarine with the help of France. This submarine would have the capacity to carry nuclear warheads and intercontinental missiles. But then the coup happened and the CIA called for the arrest of the head of the program. It seems that Lula da Silva and Macron have restarted the program again, but we’ll see how long it takes.

      • RNAi [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        6 months ago

        the CIA called for the arrest of the head of the program.

        Had no idea about it, did they actually arrested that person?

        • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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          6 months ago

          Othon Luiz Pinheiro da Silva (born 25 February 1939) is a Brazilian physicist, mechanical and nuclear engineer, vice admiral of the Brazilian Navy Naval Engineers and Technicians Corps. He had also served as president of state-owned company Eletronuclear.

          Othon’s biography is closely related to Brazil’s nuclear program. He is recognized and has received numerous honors for having been one of the main people responsible for developing a technology for enriching uranium called ultracentrifugation. This allowed the country to become independent by mastering the entire nuclear energy production chain, ensuring the construction of the SN Álvaro Alberto (SN-10) nuclear-powered submarine and the supply of the country’s nuclear power plants.

          The vice-admiral was first arrested in Operation Radioactivity, the 16th phase of Operation Car Wash, triggered by the allegations of Dalton Avancini, a former executive of the Camargo Corrêa construction company. He was later arrested again in Operation Pripyat, an offshoot of the previous operation, which investigated allegations of corruption at Eletronuclear.

          Othon was sentenced to 43 years in the first instance by Judge Marcelo Bretas and was held at the Rio Meriti Marine Base in Duque de Caxias, in the Baixada Fluminense. He was released on a writ of habeas corpus granted in October 2017 by the Federal Regional Court of the 2nd Region. In 2022, the Federal Regional Court of the 2nd Region reviewed the conviction and replaced the prison sentence with restrictions on his rights.

          This whole Operation Car Wash was a CIA-backed operation to destabilize the Pink Wave governments during the 2010s. Its aim was to arrest popular left-wing leaders, coup governments, install puppets and de-industrialize the economy.

    • MelianPretext [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      6 months ago

      The absolute funniest thing is that whenever something like this happens, including the literal day after the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in Feb 2022, there’s the current crop of “realist” Kissinger/Brzezinski wannabes like that Meerswhatever freak screaming in ghoulish rags like Foreign Affairs “not to forget about China!” and waving around RAND Corp PDFs trying to remind the Washington blob that “China is still the real long term adversary!”

      They’ve been getting completely sidelined for the past two years in every subsequent geopolitical moment since Ukraine because they don’t understand that the irrational greed inherent of US hegemony can’t stand getting challenged on a single inch of its imperial sway anywhere on the planet.

  • newmou [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    6 months ago

    Omg lmao this CNN guest saying “Israel has no choice but to retaliate for this. And we have to remember, this is what Ukraine has been dealing with every…single…night.” Just like, the fucking gall to say that about the entity that has been committing genocide with bombs against civilians every night for 7 fucking months

  • cricbuzz [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    6 months ago

    https://twitter.com/fadiquran/status/1779426300760850642

    "On Iran’s strike:

    At Stanford, I attended a masterclass on military strategy led by a person with decades of experience, including serving at the highest levels in the military and government.

    One lesson he thought that I always remember was this:

    He asked us:

    “Say the US decided to attack Iraq with a new stealth jet it hadn’t used before that evaded all radars? The attack was a success. Was it strategic?”

    Many in the class raised their hands to say “yes, it achieved its goal”. But the professor said: “It may not have been”.

    Why?

    “Because now your adversaries know your capabilities and it’s a matter of time before they find ways around them. If this attack could be done with conventional weapons, it’s better to keep your top weapons until you need them. Using them creates a disadvantage.”

    My analysis is that the scale of Iran’s attack, the diversity of locations it targeted, and weapons it used, forced Israel to uncover the majority of anti-missile technologies the US and it have across the region.

    The Iranians did not use any weapons Israel didn’t know it had, it just used a lot of them. But the Iranians likely now have almost a full map of what Israel’s missile defence system looks like, as well as where in Jordan and the Gulf the US has installations. It also knows how long it takes to prepare them, how Israeli society responds…etc

    This is a huge strategic cost to Israel, while Arab regimes now are being blasted by their peoples, particularly the Jordanian monarchy, for not doing anything to protect Gazans but then going all out to protect Israel.

    Crucially, Iran can now reverse engineer all the intel gathered from this attack to make a much more deadly one credible. While the US and Israel will have to re-design away from their current model which has been compromised. Its success in stopping this choreographed attack is thus still very costly.

    Moreover, with the threat of a regional war that neither the US nor the Arab regimes want feeling nearer, it’s likely their pressure on Israel to back down will increase, making a ceasefire more feasible.

    Anyone assuming this is just theatrics is missing the context of how militaries assess strategy versus tactics. Theatre is an important factor, but gathering intelligence of the “enemy’s” posture is more valuable, especially if one believes they’re in a long war of attrition.

    Netanyahu and the Israel government prefer a quick hot and urgent war where they can pull in America. The Iranians prefer a longer war of attrition that bleeds Israel of its deterrence capabilities and makes it an ally for Arabs and the US that’s too costly to have.

    Lastly, if you are a person who hates war, if you want peace, the best and only way to get there in the region is to support the Palestinian struggle for freedom, justice and dignity.

    There is no sustainable peace possible as long as Palestinians live under an oppressive system of apartheid."

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    6 months ago

    CNN, citing an American official: US President Joe Biden informed Netanyahu that the United States will not participate in any offensive operations against Iran Biden told Netanyahu that he should consider tonight’s events a ‘win’ for Israel – CNN

    Biden told Netanyahu that he should consider tonight’s events a ‘win’ for Israel – CNN

    • newmou [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      6 months ago

      Let’s say for a minute this isn’t just performative for the domestic US audience, and that Biden is actually serious here, which I absolutely do not believe but whatever. Bibi will just call Biden’s bluff. If Israel starts an all out war with Iran, the US WILL get involved. No doubt whatsoever. And even more so when Trump gets in office