by downloading the data and turning it into a scatter plot
by downloading the data and turning it into a scatter plot
This should be a scatter plot.
God if only there were a way to plot x by y on two independent axis…
Yes, but it wouldn’t be possible without fans that are willing to eat this drivel up.
: waves wand : Peltigera oregana!
They don’t know. and the documentary will be bigfoot level speculation.
You really had to bring that up?
This is a meme sub and you thought it was ok to bring politics here?
Just more evidence that Hawaii is forever stuck in the 90s.
I absolutely fucking can considering she built her political career of her fathers.
How many votes is she getting Harris? How many votes is she costing Harris?
These warmongering Republican endorsements; this rightward, hawkish approach: It will lose Democrats the election.
Cheney’s endorsement is a net negative.
I think my neighbor has a horse? I guess I could ask.
This campaign has turned into a fucking duh duh duh dumpster fire.
No, the daughter of the war criminal Dick fucking Cheney is not the guys whose endorsement you want to be running on while we’re staring down the barrel of a hot war in the ME. Whoever her campaign manager is should be drawn and fucking quartered.
The only acceptable answer:
The number that are worth watching can be counted on one hand.
I’m not sure what you take issue with but thats your business.
I’m checking silver bullets, Nate silvers blog.
538 isn’t what it used to be. It had Biden winning when he was polling At 38%. You shouldn’t rely on it.
He campaign has absolutely been a bummer and she’s not winning this election at the moment. Lemmy has repeatedly gaslit itself into a delusional state around what is happening in reality and it seems to be happening again in regards to Kamala Harris performance. Gaslighting yourself at your own peril.
Lemmy is an echo chamber with mods who editorially filter the views they want to see. If you are relying on it for confirmation of your world view, you are in for a deep and upsetting shock. The perfect example of this was Biden, his performance, and his ability to win. Another even more recent example of this was Walzs performance in the debate (the question of if he won).
On polling, where we can actually have a conversation. Within the MOE is losing for a democratic candidate. Harris needs overwhelming numbers to account for existing and upcoming structural issues to the election. She doesn’t have those, and her trajectory isn’t up (like it was drying and immediately after the convention). It’s going down, and that’s terrible if you want to keep Trump out of office. It’s because she’s making the classic mistake Democrats always seem to make which is to start on the left but shift to the center.
Harris topped out in growing her support about 2 weeks after the convention and with every step to the right, she backslides further. If she continues the strategy she employed from the convention to now, she will 💯 lose this election.
I’m not sure where you are getting:
As far as I’ve seen her campaign has been getting more support
When I check silver bulletin, her polling peaks around the convention and has dropped down since. She’s lost ground in GA and NC since then.
It’s not that she isn’t “beating” Trump, it’s that she’s barely beating Trump, and not by the margins she needs to overcome structural disadvantages baked into the system. +15 in national polling for Dems is blow out territory, +10 is safe, +5 is barely overcoming structural disadvantages in the system. Harris is down from being in +5 territory and that simply isn’t good enough.
Harris has left the biggest, most reliable group of voters on the table in an effort to gather “center right” voters and it’s not working sufficiently to get her over the hump.
Lemmy has a penchant for self delusions in regards to how well candidates are doing and I see your response as another example of that. The reality is that Harris blew the real palpable momentum she had coming out of the convention and her strategy post convention has been a bit of a disaster. Where she is at right now isn’t remotely good enough to overcome the structural biases that we all know exist in our electoral system. We also know there will be a Republican effort to deny or overturn the results. Harris needs a landslide victory to put this thing out of contention. Her post convention strategy has put her backwards from where she started and she has lost the upwards trajectory she had.
Harris focusing on getting Republicans to vote for her when she’s abandoned the uncommitted movement (who are are literally registered Democrats) represents a level of political malpractice well be discussing for decades to come.
Harris needs maybe 2-3% to get this over the hump and it’s all there in voters who don’t want a hot war in the Middle East and want to see Gazans respected as human beings the same way Israelis are.
Well she sure fucking needs it. Her post convention campaign has been a bummer
Still grinding out the miles on my gen 1 leaf 😭