For $49.99, the ParkinsGone Gold+ package unlocks:

• Full details of the severity of your condition
• Odds this is a false positive
• Estimated time of death

Open source is a good way to say fuck you to companies

The only problem is companies patenting a feature and then going after anyone else who implements the same feature

Looking at you especially Adobe

I think Apple doesn’t sell your info. They are just really expensive.

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Yeah, especially when considering that placebo and (in this case) nocebo effects are a real thing.

What do people think would happen when being told they will be very likely diagnosed with an incurable disease in 5 years from now? Do they think their levels of stress, anxiety, negative thinking etc. will stay as if they’d never heard of that information? No, likely not. Therefore their health will potentially be affected negatively just by knowing of that information.

But the important part here is the “incurable”! Reason being that if there’s any chance one can prolong good health for longer by acting in a preventive, health supporting way couple years sooner, then yes, it likely would be better to know earlier and change something about it even if it’s likely to affect one at some point.

And what makes it even trickier is that nobody really knows what future medical advances will be like. What’s called inevitable and incurable now, might, with early treatment, actually no longer be in the not too distant future.

This is a tough one. Is it better to know about an incurable disease seven years later if you can’t prevent the progression of symptoms?

Its not tough for me at all. I’d want to know.

We’re all going to die of something and there’s nothing we can do about that fact. However, if you can give me a really good indication how many years I have of useful life left, I’m going to live it dammit! It also means you don’t have to plan for a long retirement and can spend the money you saved on experiences you want to setting up your family for the best chance of success after your passing.

There’s no scenario I’d not want to know.

Time to invest in an automatic watch.

Before the onset of Parkinson’s disease becomes apparent, patients begin to write with smaller and smaller letters. Even before they themselves realize it, they hold down the cellphone keys longer when they send a message. And several years before the diagnosis, the first movement disorders occur. By the time the doctor diagnoses Parkinson’s, 60% or more of the neurons that produce dopamine have stopped doing so, making tremors, muscle stiffness, depression tremendously evident. Now, an investigation of thousands of people who wore smartwatches has been able to anticipate who will have Parkinson’s long before it becomes evident.

Since 2006, a study has been underway in which the U.K. health authorities have been monitoring the health of half a million people over the age of 40 (UK Biobank). A decade later, 103,712 of them were given smartwatches to record their activity for a week. These data have allowed a group of scientists to investigate something that science is eager to find: an objective marker of Parkinson’s that can be used for early detection. When they put the watches on, 273 of the participants had a clinical diagnosis of Parkinson’s. And since then, another 196 have been diagnosed. The data from these two groups have been key to detecting the abnormal signals that indicates that something is wrong in the substantia nigra, the part of the brain that degenerates as the disease progresses.

“Parkinson’s is a neurodegenerative movement disorder characterized by slow disease progression,” recalls Cynthia Sandor, a researcher at Cardiff University in the United Kingdom and co-author of the study. “Affected people experience motor symptoms such as slow movement, stiffness, coordination difficulties and tremors,” she adds. All these prodromes — signs that precede the disease — appear long before its diagnosis. “They can present subtle motor or non-motor symptoms that often go unnoticed by the person themselves.” But the accelerometers, magnetometers and gyros that are found in movement-tracking devices and smartwatches are able to pick them up. In theory, cellphones also have this technology, but as they are not always carried by a person, the records would be invalid.
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In the study, the researchers relied on the data offered by a smartwatch’s accelerometer. This sensor registers the acceleration, the beginning of each movement, and is represented in a three-dimensional system that changes with each second. To distinguish distinctive patterns in the thousands and thousands of resulting graphs, the scientists used an artificial intelligence system. The results of the study, which have just been published in the scientific journal Nature Medicine, show a decrease in mobility between 7 a.m. and 12 p.m. in people diagnosed with Parkinson’s when they put on the smartwatches. Artificial intelligence was able to differentiate this pattern from the more than 40,000 people in the control group.

With that training, the researchers went further, also identifying nearly 200 people who were diagnosed an average of 4.33 years after their movements were recorded. In some cases, detection occurred up to seven years earlier. “We show that a single week of captured data can predict events up to seven years in advance. With these results, we could develop a valuable tool to help in the early detection of Parkinson’s disease,” says Sandor, who is also the head of the Institute for Dementia Research in the United Kingdom. Data from smartwatches is easily accessible and, in the U.K., a third of the population already uses the device. A platform would have to be set up to centralize the data, and the researchers were aware that this poses a technological challenge and also has legal and privacy implications. But there is no cure for Parkinson’s and all the treatment to stop its progress have failed.

Francisco Grandas, a Parkinson’s expert at the Gregorio Marañón Hospital in Madrid, points out that all the treatments available are symptomatic: they improve the patient’s condition, “but do not prevent its progression.” He also says that there are several trials of drugs in the experimental phase, which are intended to slow down the disease’s progress, but so far have not succeeded. “In addition to problems such as the one posed by the blood-brain barrier [the membrane that protects brain tissue], we suspect that it may be because the moment has already passed, because the disease is already in an advanced phase,” Grandas explains. That’s why he is optimistic about the new research. “Other markers are being investigated, such as brain imaging, lifestyle, blood biochemistry… Non-motor symptoms appear years before, but now we are beginning to learn that there are also subtle motor signs and systems for analyzing these movements could detect them,” he says. This would open the possibility of using experimental treatments in the prodromal phase of the disease.