Our study used the Australian Fleet Model and the net zero vehicle emission model.
One neglected issue is the growing proportion of big, heavy passenger vehicles.
Reducing vehicle weights and optimising energy efficiency in transport will be essential to meet emission targets.
Our study suggests Australia is on track to miss the net-zero target for 2050 mainly because of the large proportions of fossil-fuelled vehicles and large and heavy passenger vehicles.
Wasn’t the use of bunker fuel being constrained essentially everywhere? I remember it being talked about a couple of years ago as an issue for diesel supplies as that was what they were switching to.
It will be interesting to see what happens to Australia, as it seems likely the weather will get even hotter/more chaotic. That said, if sea levels rise enough we might get the inside of the country flooded which would drastically change the climate.