• Manmoth@lemmy.ml
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        3 months ago

        It’s a brand new, highly competitive technology and ChatGPT has first mover status with a trailer load of capital behind it. They are going to burn a lot of resources right now to innovate quickly and reduce latency etc If they reach a successful product-market-fit getting costs down will eventually be critical to it actually being a viable product. I imagine they will pipe this back into ChatGPT for some sort of AI-driven scaling solution for their infrastructure.

        TL;DR - It’s kind of like how a car uses most of it’s resources going from 0-60 and then efficiencies kick-in at highway speeds.

        Regardless I don’t think they will have to worry about being profitable for a while. With the competition heating up I don’t think there is any way they don’t secure another round of funding.

        • WalnutLum@lemmy.ml
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          3 months ago

          Facebook is trying to burn the forest around OpenAI and other closed models by removing the market for “models” by themselves, by releasing their own freely to the community. A lot of money is already pivoting away towards companies trying to find products that use the AI instead of the AI itself. Unless OpenAI pivots to something more substantial than just providing multimodal prompt completion they’re gonna find themselves without a lot of runway left.

        • flappy
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          3 months ago

          If they run out of money (unlikely), they still have a recent history with Microsoft.

        • technocrit@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          3 months ago

          TL;DR - It’s kind of like how a car

          Yes. It’s an inefficient and unsustainable con that’s literally destroying the planet.

    • AlexWIWA@lemmy.ml
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      3 months ago

      Sounds like we’re going to get some killer deals on used hardware in a year or so

    • MajorHavoc@programming.dev
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      3 months ago

      Yeah. It’s a legitimate business, where the funders at the top of the pyramid are paid by those that join at the bottom!

          • porous_grey_matter@lemmy.ml
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            3 months ago

            People who previously were at the high end of GPU can now afford used H100s -> they sell their GPUs -> we can maybe afford them

          • tyler@programming.dev
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            3 months ago

            Yep and if OpenAI goes under the whole market will likely crash, people will dump their GPUs they’ve been using to create models and then boom, you’ve got a bunch of GPUs available.

            • FaceDeer@fedia.io
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              3 months ago

              That would depend entirely on why OpenAI might go under. The linked article is very sparse on details, but it says:

              These expenses alone stack miles ahead of its rivals’ expenditure predictions for 2024.

              Which suggests this is likely an OpenAI problem and not an AI in general problem. If OpenAI goes under the rest of the market may actually surge as they devour OpenAI’s abandoned market share.

      • Aabbcc
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        3 months ago

        Can I use a H100 to run hell divers 2?

  • Ephera@lemmy.ml
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    3 months ago

    I do expect them to receive more funding, but I also expect that to be tied to pricing increases. And I feel like that could break their neck.

    In my team, we’re doing lots of GenAI use-cases and far too often, it’s a matter of slapping a chatbot interface onto a normal SQL database query, just so we can tell our customers and their bosses that we did something with GenAI, because that’s what they’re receiving funding for. Apart from these user interfaces, we’re hardly solving problems with GenAI.

    If the operation costs go up and management starts asking what the pricing for a non-GenAI solution would be like, I expect the answer to be rather devastating for most use-cases.

    Like, there’s maybe still a decent niche in that developing a chatbot interface is likely cheaper than a traditional interface, so maybe new projects might start out with a chatbot interface and later get a regular GUI to reduce operation costs. And of course, there is the niche of actual language processing, for which LLMs are genuinely a good tool. But yeah, going to be interesting how many real-world use-cases remain once the hype dies down.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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      3 months ago

      It’s also worth noting that smaller model work fine for these types of use cases, so it might just make sense to run a local model at that point.

  • flambonkscious@sh.itjust.works
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    3 months ago

    The start(-up?)[sic] generates up to $2 billion annually from ChatGPT and an additional $ 1 billion from LLM access fees, translating to an approximate total revenue of between $3.5 billion and $4.5 billion annually.

    I hope their reporting is better then their math…

  • Aurenkin@sh.itjust.works
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    3 months ago

    Last time a batch of these popped up it was saying they’d be bankrupt in 2024 so I guess they’ve made it to 2025 now. I wonder if we’ll see similar articles again next year.