• Jesus@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Their model showed that it was a VERY close race and Trump had a 1 in 4 chance of winning.

    That doesn’t mean “Clinton is guaranteed to win.” It means, it’s a 4 sided die roll, and Trump had a side.

    • InternetUser2012@lemmy.today
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      4 months ago

      She had a bigger lead than mr 34 felonies has right now. I don’t really care what polls say because they’re a load of shit. VOTE. If everyone votes, we won’t have any republikkklowns in office.

    • samus12345@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Yup, it was within the probability. What it shows is that a lot of people who voted for Trump didn’t say they were when polled.

      • Jesus@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        IMHO, it mostly shows that most people don’t actually understand statistics and polling.

        If you have two candidates that are neck and neck, and are split by a percent that is close to the margin of error, then things can go either way depending on who is able to turnout votes on Election Day.